• European Neutrality is dying out

    May 5, 2022

    Putin’s war of aggression against Ukraine has had another opposite effect of his stated intention to divide Europe: the four former neutrals – Finland, Sweden, Austria and Switzerland – are changing their traditional non-alignment policy. Irland might, too. Ukraine, Moldova but also a clear popular majority in Belarus want to become EU members to put…

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  • Russia’s war against Ukraine and India’s long term interests

    April 10, 2022

    India abstained, when the UN Security Council voted a resolution condemning Russia for its unsolicited war of aggression against the Ukraine. For some in the West, this positioning may have come as a surprise and certainly as a disappointment. A deeper look into the historic background, however, reveals some logic for Prime Minister Modi’s position.…

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  • Xi’s China and European security

    November 16, 2021

    With the historical resolution of the Central Committee of the Communist Party, dated 11 November, China accelerates the trajectory towards its Maoist past. Xi’s one leader, one country, one thought doctrine becomes a menace to the rest of the world. Europe, thus the EU is directly challenged. Strategic reliance on the US will no longer…

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  • Believing Biden

    June 21, 2021

    At the conclusion of the one week trip to Europe by President Biden the Europeans appear to believe in the necessity of a push back against the authoritarian China of Xi-Jinping despite their mutual economic interests with Beijing and their fear of an eventual Trumpian renaissance in the US.  Contrary to Trump, it is relatively…

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  • Financial Centres in parallel peril

    May 20, 2021

    There is a curious parallel between Hong Kong and London as financial centres potentially declining due to their recent loss of a unique position. Historically both were crucial nods in the global network of the British Empire. More recently both functioned at a critical junction between the booming Chinese Economy, and the EU respectively on…

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  • India in geopolitics and at home: two worlds

    May 6, 2021

    The picture of India’s geostrategic position is moving, these days. Over recent months, China’s geopolitical behaviour and accompanying diplomatic rhetoric have become more assertive. But in the logic of cause and effect, international resistance against China is growing, too. US-President Biden has recently called for a digital summit of the rejuvenated Quadrilateral Security Dialogue, Quad,…

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  • Russia vs the EU

    February 18, 2021

    Putin’s Russia ignores the European attempt by Foreign Minister Borrell to have a managed relationship and sends three EU-diplomats packing for doing their job. This will have wider repercussions, in Europe and beyond. EU Foreign Minister Josep Borrell visited Moscow to lodge a strong protest against the treatment of Alexei Navalny and his supporters in…

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