MAGA’s impact on the international order The international order continues to be weakening. There is more than one cause to it. The driving factor for change in the international power equation, however, is the domestic transformation that the USA is undergoing with President Trump’s MAGA (“Make America Great Again”) movement, which is coming closer to…
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BRICS – Implications for global trade
[ ... ]No doubt: the BRICS-plus group of countries has become a heavy-weight in global economics on its own. The grouping of now ten countries, the five initial BRICS countries plus five new members (Egypt, Ethiopia, Indonesia, Iran, and the United Arab Emirates) as well as a larger number of associated countries come close to represent half…
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After Ukraine, Taiwan?
[ ... ]Within a few days, Trump’s chaotic team has rehabilitated Putin, betrayed Ukraine and plunged Europe into an acute security crisis. Is history repeating itself in Asia, where Trump could strike a deal with China, abandon Taiwan and snub his previous allies? The wild card remains India. The geopolitical situation of existing alliances is even more…
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Investment and trade in the Asia-Pacific region – Non-Chinese Asia
[ ... ]All too often, contrary to all evidence, ‘Asia’ is primarily equated with China. The non-Chinese Asia-Pacific region is larger and more important than China in all respects. India, an obvious regional superpower, is so complex that we leave it aside in this overview. But even without South Asia, the non-Chinese part of the region surpasses…
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Investment and trade in the Asia-Pacific region – The China of Xi Jinping
[ ... ]In a series of four articles, we at Shared-an-Ambassador will attempt to shed light on the generally darkening geopolitical horizon in the Asia-Pacific region in order to provide interested parties with a basis for assessing the risks of their economic activities. Xi Jinping’s China is the main contributor to the gloom. India is making economic…
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Geopolitics in the Middle East
[ ... ]A bit under the shadow of the war in Ukraine and the increasing tensions between the US vs. China, some remarkable developments have started in the Middle East. Main developments Iran and Saudi Arabia have resumed diplomatic relations, Bashar al-Assad’s Syria has been officially rehabilitated and Arab autocrats appear to govern with renewed vigour, brutality…
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India’s “Western” future
[ ... ]India’s most conspicuous political move of late is certainly its refusal to join the West’s condemnation of Russia’s war against the Ukraine and to comply with its sanctions against the aggressor. India has even, together with China, become Russia’s main buyer of oil and is, thus, indirectly funding Putin’s war. India may not be known…